The cryptocurrency market has shown resilience against volatility and financial strain, with the OG cryptocurrency currently sitting above the $50,000 mark. This has attracted a lot of interest and traction from investors. However, data suggests that market conditions may deteriorate in the near future, leading to a downfall in government assets and a potential shift towards the crypto market.
In the US, recent data has painted a picture of higher-than-expected inflation. The Producer Price Index for final demand increased by 0.3% in January, surpassing market expectations of 0.1%. On the other hand, the consumer price index (CPI) for January showed a lower inflation rate of 3.1%, but still higher than market estimates of 2.9%. These data points are crucial for both the crypto and larger financial markets, as they are used by the US Federal Reserve to gauge inflation and make rate decisions.
The expectations of a rate cut by the US Fed have shifted from June to July, as the two data points have caused market participants to anticipate a rate cut in the near future. This is because lower interest rates often lead to a devaluation of government securities, making assets like cryptocurrency more appealing. However, disappointing data has caused a downturn in government assets, such as the treasury, and has led to volatility in the 10-year US Treasury yield.
Amidst this, the crypto market is poised for a bull run, as investors shift their focus away from government assets and towards the virtual currency world. Many institutions are placing bets on the future of Bitcoin, with forecasts predicting a price of over $80,000 in 2024. Institutional investment in Bitcoin is expected to continue to be the main focus for the first half of the year, according to Coinbase. It is clear that the crypto market is gearing up for a positive outlook in the coming months.